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Should Actuaries Get Another Job?
that they should “get another job.”1 Because much of actuarial work involves forecasting, this article ... article examines Taleb’s assertions in detail, the justifications for them, and their significance for actuaries ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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White, Gray and Black Swans
White, Gray and Black Swans This paper explores how health care ... complexity challenges us to expand our repertoire of actuarial methods—and even recast our trend driver ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Health & Disability
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Introducing the New Forecasting and Futurism Professional Interest Section
Introducing the New Forecasting and Futurism Professional Interest Section Introduction of the new Forecasting ...- Authors: Alan Mills, Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Sep 2009
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
Forecasting Given the ubiquity of judgmental forecasting, it is important to understand the potential biases ... judgment—the traps that can snare us—and to learn methods and best practices to avoid them. The aim of this ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
SEPTEMBER 2009 N early all actuaries employ some form of forecast-ing: Life insurance actuaries forecast population ... lifetimes; retirement actuaries forecast pension plan payouts and plan assets during retirement; and health ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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From the Chairperson: Want to Win an iPad?
From the Chairperson: Want to Win an iPad? A summary of a new feature in the newsletter: a forecasting ... application contest. The Forecasting and Futurism Section will award a 16GB iPad to the section member who ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting